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Coronavirus to hit offshore flight demand

The number of offshore helicopter flights  will be hit heavily by the coronavirus pandemic, according to Air & Sea Analytics research.

Coronavirus has driven down demand for oil and gas and impacted the day-to-day operations on oil rigs, spelling bad news for offshore helicopter operators who have, so far, witnessed an uptick in flight hours in 2020.

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4Q 2019 Blue Book Updates

HeliValue$, Inc. held its quarterly review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book®on February 4, 2020. Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following helicopter models:

 

Mfg.Model      Resale-Value   Comments
Airbus          
AS355NP       resale pricing decrease
BK117A4       resale pricing decrease
EC135P2/P2+       resale pricing increase
Bell          
212       resale pricing decrease
407       resale pricing increase
427     --   configuration pricing decrease
Boeing          
CH-47D       resale pricing increase
Sikorsky          
S76A/A+/A++      ↓    resale pricing decrease
S76B     ↓    resale pricing decrease
S76C     ↓    resale pricing decrease
S76C+       resale pricing decrease/configuration pricing change
           
S76C++     ↓   resale pricing decrease/configuration pricing change
          
S76D     ↓    resale pricing decrease/configuration pricing change
          
S92A     ↓    resale pricing decrease/configuration pricing change

 

 

Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume. We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers and equipment manufacturers worldwide.

 

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values. Stay up to date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription. 

 

 

4Q Market Overview

 

HAI's HeliExpo 2020 was a HUGE success for us this year. Walking the floor for the first time in about 30 years instead of exhibiting, meeting owners, operators, vendors, gave us a great feel of what is going on in the industry. Meetings with lessors provided insight into the offshore oil and gas industry. Meeting with operators showed encouraging signs for the EMS markets with fleet replacement plans in place. All in all it was a leap in the right direction, as we all know this industry needs.

 

Piston helicopter sales slowed down again this quarter, and inventory levels have started increasing again. We attribute the increasing levels to more Robinson R44 models being put up for sale.

 

Light single turbine sales seem to have severely slowed this quarter, with inventory levels increasing again. Airbus AS350 series and Bell 407 series seem to be the exception, even though sales activity has fallen, the inventory levels seem to be falling as well. With the shrinking inventory levels for AS350 and 407 models, the sales prices are trending upwards again.

 

Light twin turbine sales remain stronger than last quarter, with inventory levels shrinking at a good rate. This is particularly due to the 135 / 145 / A109E / AW109S / and AW109SP sales taking place. VIP configured helicopters have been the majority of sales, with a very high percentage of them being converted for EMS operations. 

 

Medium twin turbines are finally seeing an increase in activity and sales. The downside of this is that the sales prices are continuing to decrease. With the S76 markets reverted to parting out the aircraft rather than trying to sell them, the only buyers left seem to be low time VIP buyers. With the new IOGP 590 and 420 standards released, the 412 series, S76 series through the C++, EC155 series, and the AS365 series are effectively removed from the list of aircraft allowed to operate in the North Sea. Although these are guidelines and not mandates, the IOGP standards usually trickle down to other areas of the world for offshore operations.

 

Heavy twin activity has slowed down - again - as inventory levels starting to increase - again. There have been a few recent sales of the S92A model and the parting out of this aircraft model has also started. Oil prices continue to remain low and will be the major determinant of values on this model going forward. The values associated with this model are going to remain low until the inventory levels diminish and there are no longer aircraft being offered at such low prices. 

By: Jason Kmiecik, President

 

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Detailed Value Report - Any Time, Anywhere

 

The cost to you is $495/each.

Use coupon HC100 and receive $100 off your first HeliCalc® order.

This offer expires December31, 2020.

 

 

HeliCalc® is the newest addition to the tools and resources offered by HeliValue$. We developed it specifically for our customers with a strong background in helicopter operations, to give you 24/7 access to the value of your specific helicopter in its exact current configuration and component status. HeliCalc® provides a comprehensive report based on your helicopter’s actual component times, maintenance programs, and mission equipment.

 

HeliCalc® is not an appraisal and does not meet USPAP standards. It is an Automated Valuation Model (AVM) and should not be used in place of a formal appraisal performed by a Qualified Appraiser as defined in the U.S. Code of Federal Regulations, or its equivalent in your country.

 

If you are a Qualified Appraiser yourself, with the appropriate level of experience to establish competence as required by the professional appraisal standards of your country, HeliCalc® is a superb tool to aid you in performing helicopter appraisals. Let HeliValue$ do the research work of maintaining overhaul and replacement costs, maintenance intervals, and marketplace trends. All you have to do is enter the data and output the report. You can incorporate our HeliCalc® directly into your own appraisal report to your client.

 

To complete a HeliCalc® report you will need:

·    Current component status report

·    Detailed installed equipment list

·    The knowledge and experience to accurately read the reports and identify the components’ nomenclature, time remaining (TR) or time since overhaul (TSO).

 

Start HeliCalc®

 

The Helivalues website will be under maintenance this weekend, March 14 and March 15.  You may experience slowness or outages during this time.

 



If you have any questions, please contact our office after 9am CDT on Monday at 1-847-487-8258 or by email, [email protected].

 

Thank you for your patience.

3Q 2019 Blue Book Updates

HeliValue$, Inc. held its review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book® on October 22, 2019. Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following helicopter models:

Mfg Model   Resale Value   Comments
         
Airbus EC155B1     configuration pricing change
         
Boeing CH-47D     resale price increase
         
Leonardo AW119 Koala     configuration pricing change
         
Leonardo AW119Ke     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW119Kx     2018 and 2019 resale pricing added, configuration pricing change and resales pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW109SP     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW139 Short Nose   configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Leonardo AW139 Long Nose     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
MD MD500D     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Sikorsky S76C+     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Sikorsky S76C++     configuration pricing change and resale pricing reduced
         
Sikorsky S76D     configuration pricing change
         

Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume. We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers and equipment manufacturers worldwide.

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values. Stay up to date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription. 

 

3Q Market Overview

Piston helicopter sales remain stable from last quarter, but inventory levels continue to fall. If demand remains stable over the next six months, this decrease in inventory could have a positive impact on resale prices in 2020.

Light single turbine sales seem to have slowed this quarter. The few sales that have taken place have started to indicate signs of possible weakening in the Bell 407 and Airbus AS350 markets. Continue to monitor this newsletter and website for any changes in the near future.

Light twin turbine sales also seem to have slowed down this quarter. VIP configured helicopters, however, have shown to be the larger number of sales in comparison to other configurations.

And, the only good news this quarter, medium twin sales are on the rise. Bell 212 and 412, Leonardo AW109SP and AW139, Sikorsky S76C+ and S76C++ are seeing more sales activity than in the first half of this year. Back to the bad news – all of these models are seeing declining values. Possibly these falling values are the driving factor in the transactions. As in the light twin market, there is an increase in VIP helicopter transactions, predominantly in Leonardo and Sikorsky helicopters.

Heavy twin activity continued to increase this quarter, but no new sales have been recorded. On October 31st there was an Airbus H225 crash off the South Korean coast claiming the lives of all seven occupants aboard. The cause of the accident is not yet determined. As with previous major helicopter accidents that could affect the desirability of particular models, we are monitoring both news and attitudes closely to detect the eventual market impact. Please do not rush to impair this model on your balance sheets, especially if you report under US GAAP and cannot reverse the impairment.

By: Jason Kmiecik, President

 

Subscribe NOW

 

Detailed Value Report - Any Time, Anywhere

The cost to you is $495/each.

Use coupon HC100 and receive $100 off your first HeliCalc® order.

This offer expires December 31, 2019.

HeliCalc® is the newest addition to the tools and resources offered by HeliValue$. We developed it specifically for our customers with a strong background in helicopter operations, to give you 24/7 access to the value of your specific helicopter in its exact current configuration and component status. HeliCalc® provides a comprehensive report based on your helicopter’s actual component times, maintenance programs, and mission equipment.

HeliCalc® is not an appraisal and does not meet USPAP standards. It is an Automated Valuation Model (AVM) and should not be used in place of a formal appraisal performed by a Qualified Appraiser as defined in the U.S. Code of Federal Regulations, or its equivalent in your country.

If you are a Qualified Appraiser yourself, with the appropriate level of experience to establish competence as required by the professional appraisal standards of your country, HeliCalc® is a superb tool to aid you in performing helicopter appraisals. Let HeliValue$ do the research work of maintaining overhaul and replacement costs, maintenance intervals, and marketplace trends. All you have to do is enter the data and output the report. You can incorporate our HeliCalc® directly into your own appraisal report to your client.

To complete a HeliCalc® report you will need:

·    Current component status report

·    Detailed installed equipment list

·    The knowledge and experience to accurately read the reports and identify the components’ nomenclature, time remaining (TR) or time since overhaul (TSO).

 

Start HeliCalc®

 

 
 

HeliCalc® now live

Are you considering a purchase? Need to establish a competitive asking price? Considering pre-lease commitments? Are you performing an internal company evaluation? Do you perform your own appraisals and require a more in-depth approach or alternative to a Blue Book page?  HeliCalc® is the perfect solution for customers with helicopter operations knowledge.  With HeliCalc® you will enter data into the program using your helicopter's component report and installed equipment list.  HeliCalc® will also account for hourly maintenance programs, the condition of the paint/window and glass/upholstery and flooring/interior plastic.  The program will calculate values based on the average weighted use of your components, the installed equipment, and condition.  HeliCalc® will then generate a report and calculations that display your value results.  Each report is capable of providing the Fair Market Value (FMV), Orderly Liquidation Value (OLV), and Net Orderly Liquidation Value (NOLV) based on maintenance adjusted, 0% (full-life) and 50% (half-life) component status.  Customers will have access to value results using HeliCalc® 24/7.     


HeliCalc® is based on HeliValue$, Inc. forty years of collected data and proprietary algorithms.  Couple this with an average of 2,500 helicopter appraisals performed annually, and there is no source more accurate and dependable than HeliValue$' HeliCalc®.  HeliCalc® is a pay-per-use program.  Reports are available for purchase for a fee of $495 each.  View a sample report.  Customers who require a formal appraisal performed by an accredited HV$ appraiser after the purchase of a HeliCalc® report will receive a 10% discount on appraisal desktop fees within six months of the report date.

 

 

 

Q2 2019 blue book updates

HeliValue$, Inc. held its review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book® on July 12, 2019.  Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following models: 
 

MFR.ModelChangeYOM Affected
AirbusAS-350B31998-2012
AirbusAS-350B3e (H125)2011-2016
AirbusBK-117 B11987-1994
AirbusBK-117 B21983-1997
AirbusBK-117 C2 (EC145T1)--*Est. 2013-2018 pricing
AirbusEC-130B42001-2012
AirbusEC-130T2--*Est. 2018-2019 pricing
AirbusSA-315B Lama--*Re-est. 1962-1992 pricing
AirbusSA-341G Gazelle--*Re-est. 1968-1978 pricing
Bell4071996-2014
Bell412EP1994-2011
Bell4292010-2016 down, *Est 2017-2019 pricing
Enstrom280F/FX2008-2019
Enstrom480B2000-2019
Leonardo109SP--*Est. 2018-2019 pricing
Leonardo119Kx--*Est. 2018-2019 pricing
LeonardoAW139 Long Nose2007-2019
MD530*Est. 2010-2019 pricing
MD9021998-2013



* Newly established or re-established pricing based on new resale transaction information. 

**Please note all Robinson helicopters are under extensive review as we are experiencing significant swings in value based on geographic region.


Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume.  We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers, and equipment manufacturers worldwide. 

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values.  Stay up to date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription.  

 
Login or Subscribe Now

 

There has been some increased activity over the past quarter.  Piston helicopters are generally trading well.  There has been an ever-increasing number of Robinson helicopters in need of a fresh 2,200-hour overhaul coming onto the market.  Light single turbine sales taking place over the second quarter saw a slight decline in sales prices.  Many of the older single turbine machines on the market have sold, and in turn, interest in the stock of newer models have been picking up.  The Bell 407 series and Airbus AS350B3 series have both had a slight decrease in sale prices in the second quarter.  

With higher than normal activity and interest, the most exciting market segment this past quarter has been the medium market.  This is due to recent tenders for mediums requiring a good number of aircraft to fill contracts.  There is news of several pending transactions and even more under development.  These are all indications that values for medium category aircraft will improve in the third quarter.  On the downside of the medium market, the Bell 412EP and MD 902 have had a decline in resale values for the second quarter.  

There is a continued increase in demand for the Airbus EC225LP helicopter as a utility machine, which has left operators and lessors struggling with lead times for parts and equipment from the manufacturer.  The shift from offshore to utility work for this model has also influenced a growing interest in previous variants such as the AS332L, L1, and L2.  The demand for good flyable machines is something the industry hasn’t seen since the EC225 grounding in 2016.  Another positive for the second quarter was the first Sikorsky S-92A resale transaction to take place in several years.  

 

HeliValue$, Inc. held its review of The Official Helicopter Blue Book® on April 1, 2019.  Resale pricing adjustments were made for the following models: 
 

Model Change YOM Affected
Airbus AS-350B2

1989-2015
Airbus AS-3530B3

1997-2012
Airbus AS-350B3e (H125)

2011-2016
Airbus AS-355F1

1980-1991
Airbus AS-355F2

1982-1998
Airbus AS-355N

1997-2006
Airbus AS-365N2

1990-2003
Airbus SA-365C

1977-1981
Airbus SA-365N

1981-1986
Airbus SA-365N1

1987-1990
Airbus EC-155B1 (H155)

2002-2019
Bell 407

1996-2014
Bell 407GX

2011-2014
Bell 407GXP

2014-2018
Bell 427

2000-2011
Bell 430

1996-2008
Leonardo A109S

2005-2011
Sikorsky S-61N

1968-1979
Sikorsky S-76A

1979-1990
Sikorsky S-76C++

2005-2011

***Please Note:  Piston helicopter changes will be released in the upcoming weeks.  Due to a large number of transactions, it’s taking longer than usual to update pricing.


Resale pricing adjustments are based on actual sales transactions and current market conditions such as overall trends in asking prices, increase or decrease in supply, demand, and sales volume.  We obtain sales pricing data from owners and operators, lenders and lessors, brokers and equipment manufacturers worldwide. 

While we do review all models each quarter, frequently traded models are updated as soon as they begin to show variation from the previously published values.  Stay up-to-date on resale pricing changes by purchasing an annual subscription.  
 
Login or Subscribe Now

 

 

Market Comments

 

Light-Single Turbine Market

The light single turbine market has been very active across the globe in the first quarter.  The Corporate / VIP markets are going strong.  Nice low time machines are not lasting long on the market before they are grabbed up.  Well-equipped utility machines have been moving quickly and the requests keep funneling in from potential buyers.  EMS Operators continue to take new deliveries as they phase out older machines.   Some models have seen an increase in value as the quantity of well maintained, lower time aircraft continues to shrink.  Newer and more popular models such as the Airbus AS350B2, AS350B3, AS350B3e, and Bell 407, 407GX, 407GXP are models doing particularly well on the resale market.


Light-Twin Turbine Market

Values can only drop so far, one might say.  Since 2008 the Airbus AS355 series has seen a long run of falling values.  For the first time since then, we are seeing activity picking up and transactions starting to take place on some of the older AS355F1, AS355F2, and AS355N models.  Machines with good remaining times on the engines are selling first.  Airbus EC145T1 helicopters are still sought after in the U.S. EMS markets.  There were also a few trades of the Bell 427 and MD 902 models in the first quarter.


Medium-Twin Turbine Market

There’s not much to note in the medium market.  VIP aircraft seem to be the number one seller this past quarter.  Resale activity is low on the offshore side but leasing activity has been increasing.  With a shortage of available newer Leonardo AW139’s, there has been a shift into some of the older Sikorsky S76C++, and Airbus EC155B1 models that have been sitting idle with the lessors and operators.


Heavy-Twin Turbine Market

Contracts, contracts, contracts; we need more contracts.  The dark gloomy clouds that have been hovering over the heavy offshore market are beginning to break up.  We continue to see the supply of Sikorsky S92A’s dwindle down with the lessors.  S-92As currently advertised for sale are gaining interest from operators. 
 

It is no secret that the current financial situation with some of the large operators could possibly reshape the helicopter industry by year-end.  As bad as things may seem right now the future still looks promising for the offshore sector.   New contracts are being added, additional aircraft are being required.  Aircraft are being pulled out of storage to be put back to work, and Rig Counts are up from last year.  The slowing of manufacturer deliveries has greatly improved the used markets.  We are finally seeing stabilization with some of the platforms.  We will continue to see middle-aged aircraft being retiring early as the demand for helicopters has shifted to the more technologically advanced, efficient and cheaper to operate helicopters.  Profitability is everything today.
 

We hope to see the same trends going into the next quarter and even further.  We are all ready for the weather to clear.

By: Jason Kmiecik, President

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If there is something we can help you with in the meantime, please contact our office at 1-847-487-8258